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Old 12-20-2004, 10:57 AM   #1 (permalink)
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2005 outlook: Desktops to see Linux, search war and more spy

Pulver Predicts Burnout of Some VoIP Start-Ups, Major Carrier VoIP
Announcements, FCC and Regulatory Actions, the Growth of Wireless Vs.
Wireline, and More

MELVILLE, N.Y., Dec. 20 /PRNewswire/ -- VoIP pioneer Jeff Pulver, who is
responsible for creating the industry standard Voice on the Net (VON) events
and is known as the "voice" of IP Communications, has announced a number of
predictions for what will happen to the VoIP industry in the year ahead. His
predictions for 2005 are:

1) VoIP in the USA will cross the "early-adopter chasm."
2) Broadband penetration will begin to snowball in the US, but not at a
pace fast enough to raise America's mediocre global standing in
broadband penetration.
3) We will see the restart of VoIP IPOs, and we will also see some VoIP
startups burning-out due to lack of marketing funds and customer base
... and vision.
4) Still more major carrier VoIP announcements, as well as significant
product announcements from major non-carriers (including software and
Internet giants).
5) New battle lines and tangling alliances will form between and among
carriers, vendors, and application providers and debate will grow
over the continuing role for unaffiliated, non-carrier VoIP
providers.
6) (a) The FCC will not establish an IP-Communications Bureau.
(b) The FCC will release an Order in the IP-Enabled Services
Proceeding, setting forth a broad, hands-off approach for VoIP.
7) Governments around the world will look harder at VoIP regulation, and
service providers will respond by stepping up their efforts to deploy
industry-based solutions for many of the social issues confronting
the industry (e.g., emergency response, lawful intercept).
The pace of Wireless replacement of Wireline will increase.
9) ENUM (Electronic Numbering) will continue to happen around the world
... and the US will continue to lag.
10) Open Source communications will continue to gain momentum, the
effects of which will be felt in the next 12-18 months.
11) IM and incidental communications and applications (such as
"presence") will continue to grow unregulated.
12) Universal Service will move to a connections-based system.
13) Access rates and inter-carrier compensation will trend down (although
the long-anticipated unified intercarrier comp reform will not be
seen in '05.)
14) Sides will be drawn further as Congressional debate grows over the
likely rewrite of the Communications Act. We will find out who our
friends are and who has just been paying us lip-service.
15) 2005 might be the year of Bluetooth. 2005 will see the emergence of
the first dual, or multi-mode, phones capable of switching from WiFi
to mobile wireless (and perhaps to landline).

"We are in the midst of a VoIP communications revolution," said Jeff
Pulver, chairman of Pulver.com Enterprises. "The buzz surrounding the
international VoIP industry continues to grow, and it's important for everyone
to understand and take advantage of the changes taking place. IP
Communications is 'disruptive' communications in the most positive sense, and
it will dramatically enhance the ways in which we communicate."
Pulver publishes a blog that offers unique insight into the state of the
IP Communications industry. This blog, which is updated daily (and sometimes
more often than that) addresses all-things-VoIP, from the technical (i.e.,
service and product innovations, extensions of concept) to the political
(Governmental concerns, hearings and rulings, any and all issues-based subject
matter). The Jeff Pulver Blog can be easily accessed at
http://pulverblog.pulver.com/ , and reader comments are welcome (and typically
result in a speedy reply!).

About Jeff Pulver
Jeff Pulver is one of the true pioneers of the Internet telephony/VoIP
industry with more than a decade of hands-on experience in IP Communications
and innovation. He is the publisher of The Pulver Report and VON magazine,
and creator of the industry standard Voice on the Net (VON) conferences, where
all sectors of the IP Communications industry come together to discuss,
debate, and advance the industry. Additionally, Mr. Pulver is the founder of
a number of IP Communications companies. Mr. Pulver has testified before the
FCC, the United States Congress, and numerous agencies that have a growing
interest in IP Communications. Named by BusinessWeek as one of their 2003
"Gurus of Technology," Mr. Pulver is committed to the future of IP
Communications and is featured often in the media as a true expert in his
field.

About Pulver.com Enterprises
The Pulver.com group of companies strives to promote the IP industry and
change the way people communicate through new, enabling, innovative IP
Communications technologies. The group focuses on IP hardware, software, and
communications services, demonstrating that IP Communications makes it
possible to do new things with telecommunications that can't be done with the
traditional PSTN network. Pulver.com Enterprises owns a number of companies
including Free World Dialup, LibreTel, pulverInnovations, and Blue Lava
Software, and is headed by IP Communications entrepreneur and globally
renowned thought leader, Jeff Pulver.

Reader Contact Information
Pulver.com Enterprises, 115 Broadhollow Road, Suite 225; Melville, NY
11747; Tel: 631-961-8950, Fax: 631-293-3996, http://www.pulver.com .
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